The speed of change is extraordinary, with the transition to a multipolar world creating geopolitical fragmentation and the “rise of the nation state” now happening at an accelerating pace. However, the uncertainty of change can also create blind spots if you focus too much on the daily news flow rather than the long-term fundamental trajectories.

We have identified four pivotal changes that point to an emerging change in market trends with investors refocusing more on fundamental and structural growth. These four changes are a revival of quality stocks, broadening out of the AI theme, the rise of China and India and the peak of US equity market capitalisation dominance.

The world currently seems rather unipolar with the US and President Trump setting the agenda. Investors are kept busy trying to distinguish noise from reality. This has shortened investors’ time horizon and created a more complex investment environment.

While we knew that Trump’s policies would create uncertainty and volatility in the markets, we are surprised by how unpredictability has become such a central tool in Trump’s arsenal. This is the new reality we must navigate, and it creates uncertainty.

Att försöka undvika de värsta dagarna är frestande, men att vara investerad under de bästa dagarna är avgörande, och de dagarna kommer ofta strax efter de sämsta.